Ran GUO

Rotterdam School of Management &
Stockholm Business School

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Contact:
T08-51
Burgemeester Oudlaan 50
3062 PA Rotterdam, Netherlands

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Working Papers

Similarity Breeds Trust: Political Homophily and CEO-Board Communication
with Sudipto DASGUPTA, Xiao REN, and Tao SHU
(SFS Cavalcade Asia-Pacific 2022, CICF 2022, FMA 2022, AFA 2024, FIRS 2024)

We find evidence suggesting that similarity of political views between the CEO and independent directors (“political homophily”) encourages the CEO to share adverse information with the board. Firms with higher political homophily have lower stock price crash risk, are more likely to divest previously acquired assets with poor announcement returns, and write down loss-making assets. Furthermore, the effect of political homophily is complemented by strong shareholder governance which prevents friendly board from insulating the CEO in the case of ex post negative outcomes. Our identification utilizes the exogenous variation in political beliefs associated with the entry of a conservative television network in local markets. Our findings show that a friendly board facilitates CEO-board communication which is crucial for the board to function effectively in its advisory role.


Relative Performance Evaluation and Strategic Competition
with Li HE and Toni M.WHITED
(EFA 2019, CICF 2022, R&R at Review of Financial Studies)

We examine how relative performance evaluation (RPE) affects industry competition -- a question relevant for corporate boards interested in incentivizing executives. Using U.S. airline data, we estimate a dynamic game of competition with heterogenous firms in an oligopolistic market with RPE contracts. RPE naturally makes CEO compensation less sensitive to market demand. However, because RPE amplifies a firm's cost efficiency relative to its peers, RPE does not always induce aggressive product market competition, often weakening competition from inefficient firms. While RPE induces endogenous selection of efficient firms into large, high entry-cost markets, and vice versa, RPE has little effect in uncompetitive markets.


The Economics of Financial and Operational Hedging: Insights from U.S. Power Plants
with Alvin CHEN, Haohang WU and Dong YAN
(Draft Available Soon)

We study firms’ hedging policies using U.S. electric utilities as a laboratory for our theoretical and empirical analysis. Our parsimonious model of risk management highlights a tension between financial and operational hedging. The former reallocates risk to specialized investors, which lowers the firm’s cost of financing but also decreases the firm’s subsequent incentives to reduce risk by undertaking the latter. We provide evidence consistent with the model’s predictions. In particular, we document a financial hedge overhang: firms that hedge via financial contracts subsequently engage in less operational hedging (e.g., storing gas inventory).



Works in Progress

Does Board Busyness Hurt Shareholder Value? Evidence from Political Campaigns, with Dong YAN


Spillover Effect of Financial Constraints and Industry Competition